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  • 2 months later...
Posted

Interesting, never paid attention ot these numbers. If 300million were rolled, and 100 million were exported..... are 200 million in the anejados program?

On a more serious note, with tourism down the drain, i wonder if more will be eported now considering cigar sales through global retailers would be going through the roof right now.

  • Haha 1
Posted
5 minutes ago, LordAnubis said:

Interesting, never paid attention ot these numbers. If 300million were rolled, and 100 million were exported..... are 200 million in the anejados program?

On a more serious note, with tourism down the drain, i wonder if more will be eported now considering cigar sales through global retailers would be going through the roof right now.

The numbers are extremely rubbery.  Well under 100m were exported (hand rolled). I would hazard a guess closer to 60m. 

They have slowed production since March. Precious little export until mid July (no/few flights). Getting better now but still limited.  It will be at least 12 months before any sense of normality will resume. 

 

  • Like 2
Posted
7 hours ago, El Presidente said:

The numbers are extremely rubbery.  Well under 100m were exported (hand rolled). I would hazard a guess closer to 60m. 

Even so, they are suggesting a 2:1 ratio of export to domestic. Are they really keeping twice as many cigars on the island than they export? 

Posted
7 hours ago, LordAnubis said:

If 300million were rolled, and 100 million were exported..... are 200 million in the anejados program

As above, I'm confused about the ratio. But Anejados are still exported at some point. Are twice as many cigars retained vs. exported? I'd like to know how that's possible. 

  • 8 months later...
Posted

Great read, thanks.

Posted

Thank you for sharing. Approx 4 MM boxes of hand rolled for export (100 MM cigars) producing $260 MM in revenue at $2.60 per cigar (ignoring the machine rolled exports, which only lowers the price per unit). Seems very low or maybe the super premium yields aren’t as high as assumed and the value cigars make up the majority of the market. 

Then you have wholesale and retail markup and currency exchange rates to deal with along the way. I’m almost glad the US market is closed (officially) because I suspect the additional demand would only further drive wholesale price and limit supply even further. Very interesting article just for the economics. 

ETA: if the production estimates are lower at 60 MM cigars, as El Pres suspects, wholesale revenue is closer to $4.33 per cigar, which makes more sense. 

Posted

Very interesting. Thanks for sharing.

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